Banking Regulation, Credit Risk, and Financial Stability: Evidence from Emerging Economies
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.66348/jefa.26.v1.n1.a21Keywords:
Banking regulation; Credit risk; Financial stability; Capital adequacy; Liquidity management; Emerging economies; Panel GMM; Threshold effectsAbstract
This study examines the role of banking regulation in shaping credit risk and financial stability across 12 emerging and developing economies from 2005 to 2022. Using panel data techniques, including fixed effects, random effects, system GMM, panel quantile regression, and threshold analysis, the study investigates how capital adequacy, regulatory quality, liquidity, and bank concentration influence non-performing loans (NPLs) and bank stability (Z-score). Results reveal that higher capital ratios, effective regulatory oversight, and robust liquidity significantly reduce credit risk and enhance financial stability. Threshold analysis indicates a non-linear effect, with banks exceeding a 10% capital adequacy ratio experiencing a stronger reduction in NPLs. Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates play an important moderating role. These findings underscore the necessity of enforcing minimum capital requirements, strengthening regulatory frameworks, and adopting risk-sensitive supervisory measures to foster resilient banking sectors in emerging economies.
Received: 2026-03-30 | Revised: 2026-05-25 | Accepted: 2026-05-26 | Published: 2026-05-30
Declarations
Ethics and Guidelines: Not applicable.
Consent to participate: Not applicable.
Consent to publish: The authors have provided consent to publish.
Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests.
Data availability statement: Data will be made available on reasonable request from the corresponding author.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Clinical Trial Number: Not Applicable.
Declaration of using generative AI: During the preparation of this work the author(s) used ChatGPT in order to correct the grammatical errors. After using this tool/service, the author(s) reviewed and edited the content as needed and take full responsibility for the content of the published article.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.E.A.; methodology, M.E.A.; formal analysis, M.E.A.; writing—original draft preparation, M.E.A.; writing—review and editing, M.E.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Downloads
References
Aich, B. R., Tareque, M., Ahmed, T. T., & Rahman, M. M. (2025). Unveiling the nexus of financial inclusion and political stability for capital market participation in South Asian regions. Borsa Istanbul Review, 25(6), 1101–1115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2025.06.008
Ali, M., Khattak, M. A., & Alam, N. (2023). Credit risk in dual banking systems: Does competition matter? Empirical evidence. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 18(4), 822–844. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOEM-01-2020-0035
Alrabiah, A., & Elgammal, M. M. (2018). Optimal regulation of banking system’s advanced credit risk management by unified computational representation of business processes across the entire banking system. Cogent Economics & Finance, 6(1), 1486685. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2018.1486685
Anarfo, E. B., Abor, J. Y., & Osei, K. A. (2020). Financial regulation and financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does financial stability play a moderating role? Research in International Business and Finance, 51, 101070. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.101070
Atellu, A. R., Muriu, P., & Sule, O. (2021). Do bank regulations matter for financial stability? Evidence from a developing economy. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 29(5), 514–532. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRC-12-2020-0114
Ben Bouheni, F. (2014). Banking regulation and supervision: Can it enhance stability in Europe? Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 6(3), 244–269. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-11-2013-0059
Da Silva, M. S., & Divino, J. A. (2013). The role of banking regulation in an economy under credit risk and liquidity shock. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 26, 266–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.02.005
Djebali, N., & Zaghdoudi, K. (2020). Threshold effects of liquidity risk and credit risk on bank stability in the MENA region. Journal of Policy Modeling, 42(5), 1049–1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.01.013
Duygun, M., Ladley, D., & Shaban, M. (2020). Challenges to global financial stability: Interconnections, credit risk, business cycle and the role of market participants. Journal of Banking & Finance, 112, 105735. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105735
Ferhi, A. (2018). Credit risk and banking stability: A comparative study between Islamic and conventional banks. International Journal of Law and Management, 60(4), 1009–1019. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJLMA-05-2017-0112
Ghenimi, A., Chaibi, H., & Omri, M. A. B. (2017). The effects of liquidity risk and credit risk on bank stability: Evidence from the MENA region. Borsa Istanbul Review, 17(4), 238–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.05.002
Goodhart, C. A. E. (2005). Financial Regulation, Credit Risk and Financial Stability. National Institute Economic Review, 192, 118–127. https://doi.org/10.1177/002795010519200111
Hsieh, M., & Lee, C. (2020). Bank Liquidity Creation, Regulations, and Credit Risk. Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 49(3), 368–409. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajfs.12295
Kim, T., Koo, B., & Park, M. (2013). Role of financial regulation and innovation in the financial crisis. Journal of Financial Stability, 9(4), 662–672. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2012.07.002
Naili, M., & Lahrichi, Y. (2022). The determinants of banks’ credit risk: Review of the literature and future research agenda. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(1), 334–360. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2156
Nieto, M. J. (2019). Banks, climate risk and financial stability. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 27(2), 243–262. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRC-03-2018-0043
Noman, A. H. Md., Gee, C. S., & Isa, C. R. (2018). Does bank regulation matter on the relationship between competition and financial stability? Evidence from Southeast Asian countries. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 48, 144–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2018.02.001
Pak, O., & Nurmakhanova, M. (2013). The Effect of Market Power on Bank Credit Risk-Taking and Bank Stability in Kazakhstan. Transition Studies Review, 20(3), 335–350. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11300-013-0297-z
Raberto, M., Ozel, B., Ponta, L., Teglio, A., & Cincotti, S. (2019). From financial instability to green finance: The role of banking and credit market regulation in the Eurace model. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 29(1), 429–465. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-018-0568-2
Rose, C. (2017). The relationship between corporate governance characteristics and credit risk exposure in banks: Implications for financial regulation. European Journal of Law and Economics, 43(1), 167–194. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10657-016-9535-2
Yin, H. (2019). Bank globalization and financial stability: International evidence. Research in International Business and Finance, 49, 207–224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.03.009
Downloads
Published
Data Availability Statement
Data will be made available on reasonable request from the corresponding author.
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Md Emon Ahmed (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.